As with every Tuesday, I’m back again for my weekly MLB SuperDraft breakdown. Once a week I will be bringing this article to SuperDraft to break down and analyze the slate of MLB games for the night, as well as a review of the article the following day to recap the results.
With the unique twist of the projection “multiplier,” rather than the standard salary cap adding an extra layer to the lineup building process, it’s important to measure a player’s upside in comparison to their multiplier. With baseball being a sport with a ton of variance, it is difficult to find players with extremely safe floors, even the best players in the game will have games where they produce 0 fantasy points.
However, the absence of a salary cap also gives us the flexibility to roster any player since we don’t have to worry about those restrictions. This means we can still “stack,” or pair several players from the same team in order to achieve correlation in fantasy point scoring and upside. But we can also treat the players with the higher multiplier as a priority. Now, let’s dive right into the slate!
As always, be sure to monitor weather issues and make sure you are confirming that each player listed in the article is in the starting lineup before rostering them in your SuperDraft lineups.
Pitchers
Jordan Montgomery, New York Yankees (2x multiplier)
Montgomery gets a spicy matchup against the Rangers, yet still has a very enticing 2x multiplier, which happens to be the best multiplier you can find. This Rangers projected lineup features four hitters with 30% K% or higher against southpaws this season.
Brandon Woodruff, Milwaukee Brewers (1.65x)
Woodruff does not have the 2x multiplier like Montgomery, and while he is tied for the lowest multiplier among pitchers on this slate, he does have the fact that he is the slate’s most talented pitcher working in his favor. On paper, the Cards don’t have a ton of high-K players, but Freddy Peralta just struck out 9 against this St. Louis team so the upside is definitely there for Woodruff, who has a 30% K% on the year.
Hitters
Los Angeles Dodgers stack
We have another Coors Field game on the slate, which means more fantasy goodness. Antonio Senzatela is someone I am typically OK with not targeting if the stack against him is going to be popular, but the SuperDraft multipliers on some of these hitters are far too enticing. All Dodgers bats are in play but Will Smith (1.5x), Corey Seager (1.35x), Trea Turner (1.3x) and Mookie Betts (1.2x) are my favorites.
Cedric Mullins (1.65x)
I love getting players with the power/stolen base upside combo at high multipliers because they can rack up points so quickly even without hitting a HR. The Phillies are currently expected to roll out a bullpen game with Cam Bedrosian starting. Mullins is better against RHPs than LHPs this year — but again with his ability to score in different ways, I like him in any spot at the 1.65x multiplier. On the year he has a .203 ISO and a .362 woBA against both splits, and he also has 30 stolen bases on the year.
Summary
To wrap things up, Brandon Woodruff and Jordan Montgomery are my top two pitchers, as you get a good balance of elite talent with Woodruff and an elite multiplier with Montgomery. With the hitters, the Dodgers in Coors Field is tough to ignore, and while they will likely be popular, Cedric Mullins as a one-off should be fairly contrarian to balance things out a bit. Good luck everyone.
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.
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