Every week during the NBA season, I’ll bring you my NBA SuperDraft breakdown. Once a week, I will be breaking down and analyzing that night’s slate of NBA games and returning the next day to recap the results.
With the unique twist of the projection “multiplier,” rather than the standard salary cap, adding an extra layer to the lineup building process, it’s important to measure a player’s upside in comparison to their multiplier.
Basketball is typically the easiest sport to project due to the lower amount of variance compared to other DFS sports we play and analyze. With that being the case, finding the best value, or best-projected scores after the multiplier should be priority one. However, we also want to be sure to avoid building negatively correlated lineups. For example, if two players will eat into each other’s productions/opportunities they will often have a negative correlation.
As always, be sure to monitor injury issues and make sure you are confirming that each player listed in the article is playing before rostering them in your SuperDraft lineups.
LaMelo Ball, Charlotte Hornets (1.1x score multiplier)
LaMelo failed us miserably last time I wrote him up, as he got benched for a failed self-oop dunk. However, he continues to be extremely consistent as display a massive ceiling, especially on sites with three-point, and double-double/triple-double bonuses like we have here on SuperDraft. In his last eight games, Ball has posted at least a double-double in all but one (the game he got benched). This game has the highest total on the board, as both teams are top-5 in pace in the NBA.
Caris LeVert, Indiana Pacers (1.4x)
If you are looking at box scores you probably won’t be too happy with LeVert’s recent production, especially last game. However, the last game was very encouraging for me due to the fact that he played 34 minutes. He struggled immensely as he was 3-of-14 from the field including 1-of-7 from three. LeVert is typically a very good per minute producer, so if his minutes are trending upward this could be a great spot to buy in on him before everyone realizes he is back to be a solid fantasy producer.
Mo Bamba, Orlando Magic (1.4x)
Bamba is another very strong per-minute producer, and this Denver defense has been a pretty good matchup this year, especially for big men. There is always the risk of him getting into foul trouble as he will have to deal with Nikola Jokic on the other end, but if he can avoid that he should be in for a solid game here at a decent multiplier. He did miss a game a couple nights ago due to a back injury, but he played 34 minutes in his first game back so that is a non-issue for me.
Overall, we have some solid plays with interesting multipliers here, but it is very important to monitor injury news as we have significant players questionable such as Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis, Anthony Edwards, Jaylen Brown, Bam Adebayo and a few others. Good luck everyone.
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.