Every week during the NBA season, I’ll bring you my NBA SuperDraft breakdown. Once a week, I will be breaking down and analyzing that night’s slate of NBA games and returning the next day to recap the results.
With the unique twist of the projection “multiplier,” rather than the standard salary cap, adding an extra layer to the lineup building process, it’s important to measure a player’s upside in comparison to their multiplier.
Basketball is typically the easiest sport to project due to the lower amount of variance compared to other DFS sports we play and analyze. With that being the case, finding the best value, or highest projected scores after the multiplier should be priority one. However, we also want to be sure to avoid building negatively correlated lineups. For example, if two players will eat into each other’s productions/opportunities they will often have a negative correlation.
As always, be sure to monitor injury issues and make sure you are confirming that each player listed in the article is playing before rostering them in your SuperDraft lineups.
The Plays
Bismack Biyombo, Phoenix Suns (1.7x score multiplier)
Biyombo has been great with Deandre Ayton out due to injury, and now JaVale McGee is also going to be out for this one as well. He played 31 minutes last game and has been at 25-plus over the last four. In those four games, he has put up double-doubles in three of four. If you are looking for an interesting contrarian play, Jalen Smith could take over some minutes with McGee and Ayton out, and if you are not using Biyombo due to some other strong center options, getting some exposure to Smith in the PF slot makes some sense as a leverage play.
Derrick White, San Antonio Spurs (1.45x)
White is coming off a brutal performance Tuesday night. That being said, it could help keep the public off of him. However, a huge reason as to why he failed was the lack of minutes due to the blowout. This Memphis team has gotten better defensively, but they are still playing very fast. This is nice for a Spurs team that is middle of the pack in terms of pace this season.
Cam Johnson, Phoenix Suns (1.75x)
Suns are really banged up, with several big men out who I mentioned earlier but also including Jae Crowder. That should lead to another game with massive minutes for Johnson, who played over 38 minutes last game and scored 20 actual points.
I have been finding some success recently at really keying in on guys with the great multipliers, it is super easy to get in several superstars because of the no-salary structure. But with all these players being ruled out, three are constantly guys stepping into better roles than expected, and their multiplier remains higher because of the news that is coming in after the multipliers were set.
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.
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