The NBA Playoffs have gotten off to an ELECTRIC start with great games this weekend. It all started with the Bucks-Heat which came down to Khris Middleton game clinching jumper in overtime. All of the DFS Stars were on Milwaukee side in Game 1. Will that be the case in Game 2? Let’s discuss!
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Low-Multiplier Building Block
Jrue Holiday (1.55x // 2.35x) – Khris Middleton was the hero in Game 1, he makes for a fine play. Giannis had a quiet Game 1, our projections are fine with going back to him for G2. But Holiday is our preferred play in the sub-2x range. While Giannis & Middleton will likely be the subject of much pre-game, Holiday stands out as a potentially more intriguing play. He’s got the highest multiplier of the trio, should play close to as many minutes as Giannis & Middleton, and does beat out Middleton (who has the closest multiplier to Jrue) in relevant categories like assist rate, turnover reduction, steals, and true shooting. Holiday also has the trailing 0.05, which gives him an extra 0.025x as a Champion.
High-Multiplier Flyer
Brook Lopez (2.2x // 3.3x) – Lopez, Donte DiVincenzo, and Trevor Ariza all fit the mold of tertiary starters who figure to get a lot of run and have nice multipliers given how many minutes they can be projected to play. Lopez gets the nod of this group as the preferred option – he’s a higher usage player, he also generates more free throws per shot which should further inflate his scoring & he has the most defensive upside given his very strong 4.71% block rate.
Fade Consideration
Tyler Herro (2.05x // 3.05x) – Herro got his minutes squeezed in Game 1 as Miami’s rotation tightened. Spoelstra showed a preference for Ariza & Robinson to absorb wing minutes, and Dragic as the preferred ball-handler off the Miami bench. We saw last year that Herro can fill it up in a hurry, but his 2021 shooting efficiency has left a bit to be desired, and he doesn’t offer much productivity through peripherals like rebounds, assists, or defensive stats.
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.
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