Every week during the NBA season, I’ll bring you my NBA SuperDraft breakdown. Once a week, I will be breaking down and analyzing that night’s slate of NBA games and returning the next day to recap the results.
With the unique twist of the projection “multiplier,” rather than the standard salary cap, adding an extra layer to the lineup building process, it’s important to measure a player’s upside in comparison to their multiplier.
Basketball is typically the easiest sport to project due to the lower amount of variance compared to other DFS sports we play and analyze. With that being the case, finding the best value, or highest projected scores after the multiplier should be priority one. However, we also want to be sure to avoid building negatively correlated lineups. For example, if two players will eat into each other’s productions/opportunities they will often have a negative correlation.
As always, be sure to monitor injury issues and make sure you are confirming that each player listed in the article is playing before rostering them in your SuperDraft lineups.
The Plays
Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets (1x score multiplier)
Jokic projects for almost 8 points higher than any other player on this slate for me. Surprisingly enough, that is without a multiplier. What this guy is doing right now is absolutely insane. He is producing at such an elite level and is doing it in rather limited time recently as he has lost minutes due to a blowout in his last two performances. Minnesota has improved defensively, but they are still playing at a top-10 pace, and they are allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to the center position.
Trae Young, Atlanta Hawks (1.15x)
Young is my second-highest projected player before multipliers, so the fact we get him at 1.15x is just an added bonus. He has also been playing at a very high level as of late. With Bogdan Bogdanovic and De’Andre Hunter out, he has a 36% usage rate, which has been a big factor in some strong play recently.
Jrue Holiday, Milwaukee Buckers (1.4x)
Giannis Antetokounmpo is out for this one, and Holiday has a 1.4x multiplier. That’s all you really need to know here. Holiday sees very solid usage and fantasy point boosts with Giannis off the floor. This should be obvious considering how many touches and shots are now able to be spread around now.
Here is a look at some of my other projections for Wednesday:
I hate to sound like a broken record, but once again make sure you are monitoring injury reports. Things are like the wild west out here right now with all the injury/illness/COVID-19 protocol roster changes happening every day.
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.
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