Week 5 of the NFL season caps off Monday night with a high-profile matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens are big (-7) favorites in this game, which carries an over/under of 46. Below are my top three plays for the single-game DFS slate on SuperDraft DFS.
Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens (1x score multiplier)
Jackson continues to play well this season, but aside from his Week 2 performance against the Chiefs where he logged a pair of rushing touchdowns, he has yet to have the nuclear outing that we’ve been waiting for. Even so, things have steadily improved for the young QB, as he’s increased his output in passing yards each week this season, most recently tossing 316 yards against a stout Denver defense.
He also continues to provide value on the ground, rushing for at least 50 yards in three of four games, with two of them going for over 85 yards on the ground. While this should provide a stable floor, the Colts defense has been stout against the run, so we could see a game more reminiscent of his Week 4 game where he threw for over 300 yards and ran for under 30. With the Colts defense ranking in the bottom third of the league in pass DVOA, Jackson could have a heightened ceiling against this secondary. They’ve also allowed the most passing touchdowns in the league (11) through four weeks, making this a smash spot for Jackson.
Marquise Brown, WR, Baltimore Ravens (1.3x)
Because of the weaknesses that the Colts’ secondary has shown and the number of touchdowns they’ve allowed, I want to heavily target Marquise Brown in this game. He leads the team with 445 air yards and ranks second in target share (25.2%) behind only Sammy Watkins, showcasing a great combination of home-run upside and a stable floor due to volume.
Given the fact that Brown should see more of Isaiah Rodgers than Xavier Rhodes, he draws the more favorable matchup of the receivers, naturally making him a strong play. The 1.3x multiplier also makes for an added pro, as Brown can break the slate on one long play, making a 30% bonus the cherry on top.
Carson Wentz, QB, Indianapolis Colts (1.3x)
I am not fond of using quarterbacks against the Ravens’ front seven, especially when the offensive line is banged up, and I am not fond of Carson Wentz, yet a quarterback with a 1.3x multiplier on a single-game slate is worth attention.
Wentz has topped 16 fantasy points in three of four games this season and has now logged consecutive games with multiple passing touchdowns. Sure, nothing here will jump off of the page, but this is simply taking a quarterback at a multiplier that’s a touch generous given the floor and ceiling combination that quarterbacks come with.
1. Lamar Jackson (1.5x)
2. Marquise Brown (2.05x)
3. Jonathan Taylor (2.25x)
4. Carson Wentz (1.95x)
5. Mark Andrews (2.7x)
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.