Week 12 of the NFL season is here, and we get to kick it off on Thanksgiving Day with a three-game SuperDraft DFS slate. Let’s dive in and see who will be the best plays at every position.
Quarterbacks
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (1.1x score multiplier)
Prescott and company will be hosting the Las Vegas Raiders for Thanksgiving, and it should be a one-sided affair. Prescott is coming off his worst performance of the season, as he threw for just 216 yards with two interceptions against the Kansas City Chiefs. With that being his first multiple interception game this year, I expect we get a full turnaround here against the Raiders. While the Raiders are struggling as a whole, the defense has been the surprise of their season as they are fourth in quarterback hits but have just 22 sacks on the season. Bouncing that statistic back on the Dallas Cowboys, they actually rank fifth in the NFL at stopping that type of pressure which has set Prescott up for success.
Andy Dalton, Chicago Bears (1.55x)
Everyone will be targeting Josh Allen and Dak Prescott for this slate, which leaves some room to risk it with Derek Carr or Andy Dalton. I’ll be choosing the one who gets to face the winless Detroit Lions. Dalton will be starting in place of rookie quarterback Justin Fields, as he is dealing with a rib injury. Dalton made the most of the opportunity last Sunday versus the Baltimore Ravens. He came in and threw for 201 passing yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions. The Detroit Lions are last in quarterback hits and sacks which will give Dalton more time in the pocket and hopefully make better decisions.
Running Backs
David Montgomery, Chicago Bears (1.15x)
Montgomery returned in Week 9 after dealing with a knee sprain and immediately took back his lead back role. He has outcarried Khalil Herbert 27 to 5 in the two games since while rushing for 63 and 58 yards. He has yet to find the end zone since his return but is facing the Detroit Lions, who give up the second-most fantasy points to running backs.
Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas Cowboys (1.1x)
It’s hard to pass up Elliott. He is facing a Las Vegas Raiders defense that is currently allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing running backs. One note: While Elliott does lead the backfield in carries weekly and has the higher upside due to being targeted in the passing game, Tony Pollard could be a pivot for a lower roster percentage in a game that should be one-sided.
Wide Receivers
Marquise Goodwin, Chicago Bears (1.9x)
Goodwin is coming off his best game of the season with eight receptions with 104 receiving yards and a touchdown. Allen Robinson and Darnell Mooney are both questionable heading into Thanksgiving, which makes picking your poison slightly tougher for this game. If either of the two is out, I will be loading up more on Goodwin. If both are cleared to play then lowering the exposure will be needed on him.
Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills (1x)
Unfortunately, Diggs has the lowest multiplier on the slate. Fortunately, he has a great matchup versus the New Orleans Saints and lining up across from Paulson Adebo. Diggs and Cole Beasley have gone back and forth in leading with the weekly target shares. That hasn’t been a problem as it has left enough room for both receivers to succeed. The one leaning factor is when it comes to red-zone targets, Diggs has led the receiving core eight out of 11 games they have played.
Tight Ends
Dalton Schultz, Dallas Cowboys (1.35x)
Depending on the stacking route you run, Schultz should be in your player pool. He has a 1.35x multiplier versus a sloppy Las Vegas Raiders defense. They have allowed the third-most fantasy points to the tight end position with 13.8 per game this season. He hasn’t found the end zone since Week 4, but the targets are there as he has only dropped below five targets twice this season.
Dawson Knox, Buffalo Bills (1.6x)
There’s a strong possibility Knox comes in under-rostered with Darren Waller, T.J. Hockenson and Dalton Schultz on the slate. Knox has a 10- and an 8-target game this season and is averaging 4.8 per game. He has cracked the 10-fantasy-point threshold four times in eight games this season. Though that’s not elite, on a slate with just three games, I want to dive down to Knox to get different in lineups.
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.
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