Every week during the NBA season, I’ll bring you my NBA SuperDraft breakdown. Once a week, I will be breaking down and analyzing that night’s slate of NBA games and returning the next day to recap the results.
With the unique twist of the projection “multiplier,” rather than the standard salary cap, adding an extra layer to the lineup building process, it’s important to measure a player’s upside in comparison to their multiplier.
Basketball is typically the easiest sport to project due to the lower amount of variance compared to other DFS sports we play and analyze. With that being the case, finding the best value, or highest projected scores after the multiplier should be priority one. However, we also want to be sure to avoid building negatively correlated lineups. For example, if two players will eat into each other’s productions/opportunities they will often have a negative correlation.
As always, be sure to monitor injury issues and make sure you are confirming that each player listed in the article is playing before rostering them in your SuperDraft lineups.
The Plays
Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets (1x score multiplier)
1x Jokic has been a staple of this article the last two weeks. I get that it is not ideal for him to not receive any additional boost, but his ceiling is still north of 75 even without the multiplier. Multipliers included, my model has him projected as the second-highest scorer. The only downside is that he is a center, and there are a few very strong center options.
Kevin Love, Cleveland Cavaliers (1.75x)
Love has struggled to see big minutes this season. However, with a handful of Cavs including Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley out for this game, this may be a great spot for the veteran to get some additional time on the floor. Love has been a very efficient fantasy producer when given the run. Considering the minutes boost and a very intriguing 1.75x multiplier, Love is projecting as the highest-scoring SuperDraft play for me.
Cole Anthony, Orlando Magic (1.3x)
Anthony has missed the last two games with an ankle injury. If he returns here, he would be coming back to a Magic team with several key contributors missing, which would be fantastic for his usage and fantasy production. BE SURE TO MONITOR HIS STATUS. If he were to sit, Paul George at 1.15x would slot in here as my third favorite play. George played 30 minutes in his return to action Monday, so I am banking on more minutes for him in a great matchup against the Kings.
Here is a look at some of my other projections for Wednesday:
I hate to sound like a broken record, but once again make sure you are monitoring injury reports, things are like the wild west out here right now with all the injury/illness/COVID-19 protocol roster changes happening every day.
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.
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