Every week during the NBA season, I’ll bring you my NBA SuperDraft breakdown. Once a week, I will be breaking down and analyzing that night’s slate of NBA games and returning the next day to recap the results.
With the unique twist of the projection “multiplier,” rather than the standard salary cap, adding an extra layer to the lineup building process, it’s important to measure a player’s upside in comparison to their multiplier.
Basketball is typically the easiest sport to project due to the lower amount of variance compared to other DFS sports we play and analyze. With that being the case, finding the best value, or highest projected scores after the multiplier should be priority one. However, we also want to be sure to avoid building negatively correlated lineups. For example, if two players will eat into each other’s productions/opportunities they will often have a negative correlation.
As always, be sure to monitor injury issues and make sure you are confirming that each player listed in the article is playing before rostering them in your SuperDraft lineups.
The Plays
Keifer Sykes (1.85x score multiplier) and Duane Washington (1.8x), Indiana Pacers
Please note I am writing this Tuesday night with the assumption that Malcolm Brogdon and Caris LeVert are out, but it does sound like at least Brogdon has a shot. If both are indeed out once again, we should see these two continue to play massive minutes, and both have been pretty efficient as well. Both have played 34-plus minutes in each of the last two games. It gets a little trickier if just Brogdon is in, but I assume one of them would still start, and with that being the case I would prefer the starter.
Kyle Kuzma, Washington Wizards (1.55x)
With several Wizards out, Kuzma gets a pretty massive boost in overall production, volume and efficiency. Despite those boosts and the recent fantasy output he still has a solid 1.55x multiplier, and now gets a fantastic matchup against the Rockets.
Anfernee Simons, Portland Trail Blazers (1.8x)
With CJ McCollum and Damian Lillard out last game, Simons stepped out for cool 43 actual points en route to nearly 60 fantasy points before the multiplier. That would have been good for a whopping 107 SuperDraft points at this 1.8x multiplier. His minutes should be massive, and he clearly possesses a monster ceiling even at 1.8x.
I have been finding some success recently at really keying in on guys with the great multipliers, it is super easy to get in several superstars because of the no-salary structure. But with all of these players being ruled out, there are constantly guys stepping into better roles than expected, and their multiplier remains higher because of the news that is coming in after the multipliers were set.
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.
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