Every week during the NBA season, I’ll bring you my NBA SuperDraft breakdown. Once a week, I will be breaking down and analyzing that night’s slate of NBA games and returning the next day to recap the results.
With the unique twist of the projection “multiplier,” rather than the standard salary cap, adding an extra layer to the lineup building process, it’s important to measure a player’s upside in comparison to their multiplier.
Basketball is typically the easiest sport to project due to the lower amount of variance compared to other DFS sports we play and analyze. With that being the case, finding the best value, or highest projected scores after the multiplier should be priority one. However, we also want to be sure to avoid building negatively correlated lineups. For example, if two players will eat into each other’s productions/opportunities they will often have a negative correlation.
As always, be sure to monitor injury issues and make sure you are confirming that each player listed in the article is playing before rostering them in your SuperDraft lineups.
The Plays
Kyrie Irving, Brooklyn Nets (1.15x score multiplier)
Kevin Durant remains out, and this is a pretty solid matchup for the Nets as the Washington defense has been lackluster over the last couple of weeks. Kyrie is more than capable of massive performances, so the 1.15x can even be seen as a bit generous considering his ceiling.
De’Anthony Melton, Memphis Grizzlies (1.75x)
Melton is back on the radar here for us — Desmond Bane is out for Wednesday’s game, so there is a chance Melton starts, but even if he doesn’t I still think he sees solid minutes, and Melton has always been a fairly solid producer when given the minutes.
Jordan Clarkson, Utah Jazz (1.6x)
With no Donovan Mitchell, Clarkson should be tasked with some more minutes and usage here in a fantastic matchup against the Rockets, who play very fast and are bottom 10 in defensive efficiency.
I have been finding some success recently at really keying in on guys with the great multipliers, it is super easy to get in several superstars because of the no-salary structure. But with all of these players being ruled out, three are constantly guys stepping into better roles than expected, and their multiplier remains higher because of the news that is coming in after the multipliers were set. Some of the other players benefiting from injury news is Rudy Gobert, Bojan Bogdanovic, and James Harden.
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.
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