Sep 9, 2020; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Corbin Burnes (39) pitches during the first inning against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Nothing like a great mid-day MLB slate!

Please note: Projecting hitters over the course of the day can be a volatile undertaking. Starting lineups & batting orders aren’t typically announced until 90+ minutes before first pitch, and actual lineups can be very different from what is expected hours before game time. Batting order can have a major impact on project-ability, so top plays (particularly hitters) which are highlighted in the afternoon can become weaker plays closer to lock if lineups, weather, or pitching matchups change over the course of the day. When in doubt, refer to the top projections table at the bottom of this article which will be updated periodically as projections change.

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Corbin Burnes (1.8x) – Burns has got a big 34% whiff rate over the past two years, the second best pitcher by that metric today is Griffin Canning all the way down at 29%. Burns can pile up strikeouts in a hurry which is great for DFS purposes. He can be susceptible to hard contact (9.6% barrel rate, 2nd highest among pitchers today).

Jose Berrios (1.5x) – Berrios isn’t as K-happy as Burns, but is far better at limiting hard contact when batters do put the ball in play. He also draws a strong matchup against a projected Seattle lineup that has an average launch angle/exit velocity estimated wOBA of .353 and an average whiff rate of 28%, both of those metrics are 3rd lowest (good for wOBA) & highest (good for whiff rate) among today’s projected lineups.


Josh Fuentes (2x, assumed batting 2nd) – These Rockies hitters have a great matchup against Merril Kelly (.400 estimated wOBA, 20.7% whiff rate allowed) in Colorado, if you can get a guy in the heart of the order at the multiplier max you should be pretty excited about that.

Ty France (1.75x, assumed batting 2nd) – Tougher matchup for France than Fuentes, but the guy is a solid hitter at a nice multiplier. The young infielder has quietly put together some pretty solid numbers of the past couple years in limited playing time, his 2-year rolling estimated wOBA & contact rates are in the top 3rd of hitters in action today, he’s projected to bat towards the top of the lineup.

This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.

Featured Image Source: Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports


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