It’s Tuesday, which means it’s time for my weekly MLB SuperDraft breakdown. Once a week I will be bringing this article to SuperDraft to breakdown and analyze the slate of MLB games for the night, as well as a review of the article the following day to recap the results.
With the unique twist of the projection “multiplier,” rather than the standard salary cap adding an extra layer to the lineup building process, it’s important to measure a player’s upside in comparison to their multiplier. With baseball being a sport with a ton of variance, it is difficult to find players with extremely safe floors, even the best players in the game will have games where they produce 0 fantasy points.
However, the absence of a salary cap also gives us the flexibility to roster any player since we don’t have to worry about those restrictions. This means we can still “stack,” or pair several players from the same team in order to achieve correlation in fantasy point scoring and upside. But we can also treat the players with the higher multiplier as a priority. Now, let’s dive right into the slate.
As always, be sure to monitor weather issues and make sure you are confirming that each player listed in the article is in the starting lineup before rostering them in your SuperDraft lineups.
Kyle Gibson, Philadelphia Phillies (1.95x SuperDraft score multiplier)
Not only do we get a great multiplier here for Gibson at 1.95x, we also get a great matchup, as this Cubs lineup has five hitters (not including the pitcher) striking out 30% of the time this season. Gibson is not necessarily a strikeout pitcher, but the top-end multiplier and strong matchup make him one of my favorite SuperDraft play of the night.
Nathan Eovaldi, Boston Red Sox (1.95x)
There are a lot of similarities between Gibson and Eovaldi here, as both have very good matchups and sit at 1.95x on the night. Eovaldi has a bit more strikeout upside as he has a 25% K% on the year, but the Seattle matchup is not quite as good as the one that Gibson has. Although the Mariners are still quite strikeout heavy themselves, as they have 6 hitters striking out 22% of the time or more against RHPs this year.
New York Yankees, highlighted by Aaron Judge (1.4x) and Giancarlo Stanton (1.3x)
This matchup is fantastic for the Yankees, who also get to play in a very hitter-friendly ballpark in Baltimore. Alexander Wells is on the hill for the O’s, and so far this year against RHHs he has allowed a whopping .246 ISO, a 49% hard-contact rate, and just a 30% ground-ball rate. With all of that hard contact and power allowed and the lack of groundball production, Wells should continue to struggle against these Yankees who are rolling out five hitters with a .180 ISO against LHPs or higher. Judge and Stanton are my top two, but Kyle Higashioka (1.65x), Luke Voit (1.25x), and Joey Gallo (1.15x) are also in play as stacking options.
Luis Robert, Chicago White Sox (1.65x)
Robert is my favorite one-off hitter and is continuously a guy who grades out well on SuperDraft because he can put up points in so many different ways, and when he gets a 1.65x multiplier like tonight, he is going to leap to the top of my board. Robert will see an LHP to start this game and so far this year against LHPs Robert has a .265 ISO and an elite .412 xWOBA
To sum things up, Eovaldi and Gibson are my top pitchers of the night due to elite matchups and very strong multipliers, while I think stacking the Yankees and using Luis Robert as a one-off (or in White Sox stacks) would be my preferred route for the Tuesday SuperDraft slate.
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.