As with every Tuesday, I’m back again for my weekly MLB SuperDraft breakdown. Once a week I will be bringing this article to SuperDraft to break down and analyze the slate of MLB games for the night. Additionally, I will provide a review of the article the following day to recap the results.
With the unique twist of the projection “multiplier,” rather than the standard salary cap adding an extra layer to the lineup building process, it’s important to measure a player’s upside in comparison to their multiplier. With baseball being a sport with a ton of variance, it is difficult to find players with extremely safe floors, even the best players in the game will have games where they produce 0 fantasy points.
However, the absence of a salary cap also gives us the flexibility to roster any player. This means we can still “stack,” or pair several players from the same team in order to achieve correlation in fantasy point scoring and upside. But we can also treat the players with the higher multiplier as a priority. Now, let’s dive right into the slate!
As always, be sure to monitor weather issues and make sure you are confirming that each player listed in the article is in the starting lineup before rostering them in your SuperDraft lineups.
Brandon Woodruff, Milwaukee Brewers (1.7x score multiplier)
Last week when I wrote this article, I listed Woodruff as my top option. This week, he is back and in the same matchup which he struck out 10 in 7 innings of work. Here is what I wrote last week, as much of it still applies: “Woodruff does not have the 2x multiplier like (Jordan) Montgomery does, and while he is tied for the lower multiplier among pitchers on this slate, he does have the fact that he is the most talented pitcher on the slate working in his favor. On paper, the Cards don’t have a ton of high-K players, but Freddy Peralta just struck out 9 against this St. Louis team so the upside is definitely there for Woodruff who has a 30% K% on the year.” One thing that doesn’t apply is the part about his multiplier. He received a boost between now and last Tuesday and it sits at 1.7x.
Brady Singer, Kansas City Royals (2x)
Singer is the 2x target for me Tuesday, as he gets a good matchup against Cleveland. Cleveland features a projected lineup of six hitters with 24% K% against RHPs so far this season, four over 31%. Singer has had his ups and downs, but he has always had some semblance of strikeout upside, since 2020 he has a 23% K%.
Lane Thomas, Washington Nationals (1.85x)
Thomas is not an elite talent by any means, but he has been solid this year with the opportunity to bat lead-off for the Nationals and has done well against LHP where he has a .224 ISO. He will also be playing in the most hitter-friendly ballpark in baseball. Despite all of those things, he still has a 1.85x multiplier.
Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins (1.6x)
Buxton has dealt with some nagging injuries all year, but he is back in the lineup tonight. His elite speed/power upside is far too great for him to have a 1.6x multiplier in my opinion. Similar to guys like Luis Robert and Cedric Mullins — who I have written up frequently in these articles — Buxton can stack up points in so many different ways that these elite multipliers on players like this make it hard to pass on. Additionally, Buxton gets a matchup against a bad LHP — against southpaws since 2020, Buxton has a .287 ISO. Since the start of last season, Tyler Alexander has allowed a .362 wOBA and a .245 ISO to right-handed hitters while also giving up hard contact on 48% of batted balls and having a lowly ground-ball rate of just 37%. Alexander is a right-handed hitter’s dream, and Buxton should be able to capitalize here.
Luis Robert, Chicago White Sox (1.8x)
Speaking of Robert, he arrives in this article once again but this time he has a whopping 1.8x multiplier. Everything I mentioned regarding Buxton’s speed/power combo applies here for Robert as well. Dating back to last year Robert has a .194 ISO and a .343 wOBA against RHPs.
To wrap things up, Brandon Woodruff and Brady Singer are the ideal pitching options for me Tuesday. They both project well and have strong multipliers for their upside. I didn’t list any stacks, but either team playing in Coors or Twins, make for great stacking options. Consider them alongside my favorite bats of the night — Lane Thomas, Luis Robert, and Byron Buxton.
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.