Who’s ready for some Saturday football? All three of these games should be fun to watch and each has its own reasons to tune in. We have the Patriots are hosting the division rival Bills, the 49ers looking to bounce back against the Rams under the lights and what looks to be like a Saturday afternoon shootout between the Texans and Buccaneers.
Last week we identified guys like Breshad Perriman and Dwayne Haskins who went on to have big days. Let’s try to keep it rolling in week 16!
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Stacks to look at:
With only three games on the Saturday slate, stacks are going to be a good way to capitalize on the big plays. With the Texans and Buccaneers point total as high as 51 on some sports-books, it should come as no surprise that we’re going to put most of our eggs into that basket.
Deshaun Watson (1.1x) DeAndre Hopkins (1x) Will Fuller V (1.5x) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This game has shootout potential with both teams being known to sling the ball around. I think Deshaun Watson is in the best position to go nuclear with his matchup on Saturday as he looks to improve upon an already stellar season. Watson is averaging over 24 FPPG on SuperDraft over his last four games (not including his multiplier) and finally appears to have a healthy receiving core.
If you mix that with the 30th-ranked Buccaneers pass defense then Watson should have a field day when targeting guys like Deandre Hopkins and Will Fuller.
Over his last two games, Hopkins has been targeted a team-high 21 times while amassing a state line of 13/239/1. Fuller, on the other hand, only has three touchdowns this season and they all came in the same game in week 5. I expect Watson to find his favorite targets and head into week 17 on a roll.
Jameis Winston (1x) Breshad Perriman (1.3x) O.J. Howard (1.65x) vs. Houston Texans
In a perfect world I would have mentioned Famous Jameis first, but, the Buccaneers’ receiving core is dropping like flies. With Mike Evans already on the shelf with a hamstring injury, it looks like Chris Godwin will also be out with a hamstring injury of his own on a short week. If that wasn’t enough, Scotty Miller was placed on injured reserve on Tuesday.
The good news for SuperDraft users: Jameis Winston has never seen a receiver he didn’t like and the guy LOVES to sling it. He became the first player in NFL history to throw for 450 yards in back-to-back games. We all know how big of an impact Breshad Perriman had in the latter of the two games where he totaled 113 yards receiving and added three touchdowns on top of that. With a 1.75x he ended the evening with almost 60 points on SuperDraft. Even though Perriman’s multiplier isn’t as juicy as it was last week, he has big play potential against the 28th-ranked pass defense.
With all of the injuries to pass-catchers in Tampa Bay, O.J. Howard could shine. Over his last three games, Howard is quietly averaging over six targets a contest with the highest of the three coming on Sunday where he saw eight balls thrown his way. Saturday could be the chance he needs to salvage this season and haul in his second touchdown of the season.
Jimmy Garoppolo (1.5x) George Kittle (1x) vs. LA Rams
Another stack worth looking at to be contrarian on Saturday would be the northern California connection between Jimmy G and George Kittle. After three quarters in Sunday’s game against the Falcons, Garoppolo had completed 15 passes with 12 of those being caught by Kittle.
The young quarterback has the tendency to go to the air more against division opponents this season averaging over 27 completions and 41 attempts in those three games. Kittle was targeted 16 times and hauled in 14 of the attempts in the two games he played against teams within the division totaling 182 yards receiving and a score.
The Rams have struggled covering opposing tight ends at times this season with just last week Jason Witten and Blake Jarwin combining for a stat line of 6/76/1. With all of the exposure surrounding Watson and Winston, the mini stack might just help you get in the money.
Starts outside the stack:
As much as we want to, we cannot simply build a lineup only using players from one game. Here are a few guys worth looking at in the later games on Saturday.
Devin Singletary (1.3x) at New England Patriots
I like both running backs in this game due to the pace and how close this game should be. Devin Singletary is quietly becoming one of the best young backs in the league scoring over 13 FP (not including the multiplier) in three of his last four games.
Despite being ranked in the top 10 in rushing defense, New England has gotten run on quite a bit this season giving up four 100-yard rushers. One of those was to Frank Gore the last time these two teams played. Singletary is now healthy and getting the carries in Buffalo and I’m banking on the rookie showing out in his first start in Foxboro.
Sony Michel (1.55x) vs. Buffalo Bills
Like I said, I like both starting running backs in this one. These teams are so good at defending the pass, both are ranked second and third in the league respectively, that you are almost forced to run on them.
Michel got something going on Sunday rushing for 89 yards on 19 carries. Both Michel and Singletary are going to be counted on heavily in this AFC East tilt and I’m willing to bet that one, if not both, find the end zone.
Tyler Higbee (1.4x) at San Francisco 49ers
I don’t know what has gotten into him, but Tyler Higbee cannot be stopped. In his last three games he has caught 26 passes for an alarming 334 yards. His targets have gone up in each of his last four games and his snap share in his last three is just about 90%.
I know the matchup is scary but Jared Goff has clearly developed a connection with his tight end and it has resulted in wins in two out of the last three.
If you don’t want Kittle because of his high ownership%, Higbee is the best play out of the rest of the pool.
This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.